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  • Mike Paterson

Better risk sentiment returns on trade talk hopes

Thursday 27 June 2019

With the G20 meeting tomorrow and Saturday fast approaching we've had some upbeat noises on US-China trade talks which have helped bring some risk-on sentiment back to markets. While those talks are by no means the only game in town the planned meet between Trump and Xi remains the main focus. Yen and Swiss Franc pairs all higher on the headlines/reports/rumours but these remain fragile times.


Data risk from the US today comes in the shape of GDP and PCE and 12.30 GMT and German inflation numbers prior through the European morning session.


Just to let you know there will be no updates tomorrow (Friday) as I am away sailing/racing for the weekend. http://www.roundtheisland.org.uk/web/code/php/main_c.php?section=home . Normal service resumed on Monday assuming I make it round and back in one piece !


GBPUSD has duly failed above 1.2700 a few times helped by some month-end EURGBP demand as ever but remains underpinned by the latest wave of GBPJPY and GBPCHF demand. EURGBP held 0.8935 on yesterday's retreat but ran into the BUBA month-end demand and has since posted 0.8970 and remains underpinned. GBPJPY has found some support from the better risk sentiment but sellers remain poised.


I remain GBP bearish overall still and will continue to rally-sell as my preferred strategy amid all the uncertainty/indecision including Brexit/political fallout but happy to buy back in the dips as always.


EURUSD has held the 1.1350 area again but has very large option expiries today at 1.1400 which should continue to cap rallies despite the general EUR demand elsewhere. USDJPY has rallied on the positive US-China trade to clear out the decent sell interest at 107.80 and 108.00 to post highs of 108.16 USDCHF remains underpinned after the SNB help and now broken back up through 0.9800 on the better risk plays before once again running into sellers.


AUDUSD remains tightly bound but nudging ever higher with a little help from AUDJPY demand again while USDCAD remains on the back foot on the firmer oil/CADJPY demand combo but finding dip demand around 1.3100 as expected.


Fickle Forex markets ever prevailing so be ready with your entry/exit levels and orders as always.


I hope my updates/tweets are helping. If not then do let me know why not.Feel free to contact me about discounted 1-2-1 mentoring rates if you need some clarity on current moves or finding it difficult to make money from my recommendations/strategy.


Have a good day out there one and all.


Interbank Rate 08.40 BST

GBPUSD   1.2687

EURUSD   1.1366

EURGBP   0.8958

GBPEUR   1.1161

GBPAUD   1.8135

GBPCAD   1.6645

GBPJPY   137.05

GBPZAR   18.0148

GBPHKD   9.8363

USDJPY   108.03

USDZAR   14.1952

EURJPY   122.79

EURCHF   1.1130

EURHKD   8.8130

AUDUSD   0.6995

USDCAD   1.3122

USDCHF   0.9792


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