Fragile markets still prevailing
Tuesday 7 May 2019
I've warned for a long while now that we live in fragile times and markets will respond accordingly. So is it any real surprise that we're seeing some ongoing risk-off sentiment prevailing amid the US-China trade talks and Brexit uncertainty to name but two causes.
GBPUSD has been range bound again and holding 1.3080 while unable to hold above 1.3130 with GBPJPY selling still helping to cap rallies. EURGBP dip-buyers have been prevailing and helping to cap Cable too but equally there's rally sellers poised too as the Euro remains fragile too. More Brexit headlines to come this week and today May meets the head of the back bench MPs to discuss her departure date.
I remain GBP bearish overall and continue to rally-sell as my preferred strategy amid all the uncertainty/indecision including Brexit. Plenty more noise to come in the days/weeks ahead and the algos will continue to feed off the headlines.
EURUSD failed around 1.1220 while USDJPY found some dip demand this morning on reports that China's Liu will travel to the US this week for trade talks but the relief rally was short-lived. USDCHF has topped out again by some risk-off CHF demand but still holding 1.0150 as EURUSD caps again.
AUDUSD rallied sharply on the RBA interest rate hold earlier this morning but similarly sellers,including me, remained poised and we've seen the pair top out at 0.7048 ahead of decent 0.7050 option interest rolling off today. USDCAD is still making its mind up with some CADJPY selling again but has remained underpinned by softer oil prices.
Fickle Forex markets ever prevailing so be ready with your entry/exit levels and orders as always.
Have a good day out there one and all.
Interbank Rate 08.35 BST