Greenback under pressure again
Friday 6 March 2020
The US Fed rate cut set the wobbly tone this week but as risk sentiment remains very soggy we're seeing US 10year bond yields fall further to 0.80% and triggering further US Dollar falls with NFP data to come at 13.30 GMT too. The Coronavirus knock-on effect is now of deep concern. Equities are tummbling still, oil lower,Gold has surged to $1680, USDJPY down to 105.70, USDCHF 0.9405 and EURUSD up to 1.1278 as safe-haven plays continue to prevail amid the global fragility as I have long warned even before COVID-19 was ever mentioned.
GBPUSD has broken up through 1.2900 and now looks underpinned there into 1.2880. Highs of 1.2982 as I type but rallies tempered by EURGBP moving back up to 0.8685 as EURUSD outstrips GBPUSD. EURGBP duly held 0.8620 and now looks underpinned at 0.8650 as we post 0.8685 (GBPEUR down to 1.1500).GBPJPY has seen steady declines to test 137.00 again amid the soggy risk sentiment and USDJPY falling to 105.70.
I stay poised to sell GBP rallies and buy back in the dips as ever.
USDJPY has fallen steadily to now post 105.50 as I type. Expect the BOJ to provide some verbal intervention to try and stem the falls but unlikely to be buying any just yet. Never say never though. EURJPY also in retreat but tempered by the EURUSD rally. EURUSD has enjoyed its Euro safe-haven status and climbed steadily to post 1.1279 making the most of the softer US Dollar. I'm not sure how far we go before getting stretched but we have to respect the inherent funding demand still.USDCHF has retreated again and now testing 0.9400 dragging EURCHF down below 1.0630 and now 1.0600 as I type so let's see if the SNB are poised again.
AUDUSD held around 0.6580 yet again and has rallied to 0.6645 amid softer USD/stronger Gold but still tempered by some AUDJPY supply. USDCAD has failed above 1.3430 due to the softer USD but falls tempered by lower oil and CADJPY supply.
Fickle Forex markets ever prevailing so be ready to jump on moves with your entry/exit levels and orders as always. Caution advised as ever if you're not sure.
Lots going on right now, and the foreseeable future, so don't forget that I offer 1-2-1 mentoring if there's areas of these volatile markets that you might need some further help with.
Tomorrow sees the Shrimpers of Southend back at the hallowed Hall and we can only hope for better things on the pitch this week amid more chaos off it.
Have a good day/week-end out there one and all.
Interbank rates: 08.40 GMT