It's risk-off time again as markets re-group
Wednesday 7 August 2019
Yes folks, it's back to the same old fragile risk sentiment prevailing after the PBOC-led reaction which I warned yesterday was maybe over-cooked. Weaker Yuan, trade war and Brexit uncertainty all back in play to once again send traders/algos looking for safe-haven trades overall despite some small retracement as European trading gets underway.
GBPUSD has rallied to 1.2210 as EURGBP fell further to 0.9170 but we've seen some supply from rally sellers once again. EURGBP has been back up to 0.9225 (GBPEUR down to 1.0840) but now lower again.GBPJPY has fallen back to post 128.79 after yesterday's failure around 130.00 with rally sellers back on the front foot.
I remain GBP bearish overall and will continue to rally-sell as my preferred strategy amid all the uncertainty/indecision including Brexit/political fallout but happy to buy back in the dips as always.No reason to change my view any time soon.
USDJPY has been back down to 105.93 after finding decent sell interest/resistance around 106.60-65 before rallying. USDCHF held 0.9730 helped by the steadier EURCHF and falling EURUSD. EURUSD fell further to post 1.1170 before rallying and now seems to be in a range of 1.1170-1.1220 for the moment.
AUDUSD continues to find itself on the back foot helped by AUDJPY supply and the unexpected rate cut of 0.5% from the Reserve Bank of NZ ( a cut of 0.25% expected) with further talk from them of negative rate possibility if needed. We've seen some demand into 0.6675 with help from higher Gold price but rally sellers will remain poised. USDCAD has staged a decent rally now on the CADJPY and oil selling double whammy.
Fickle Forex markets ever prevailing so be ready with your entry/exit levels and orders as always.
Don't forget I offer 1-2-1 mentoring if there's areas of trading this latest volatility that you might need some further help with.
Have a good day out there one and all.
Interbank Rate 08.33 BST