Markets in cautious mood still
Monday 6 January 2020
While the world waits to see what Iran will do by way of further retaliation after some week-end strikes and with Trump poised to strike back "perhaps disproportionately" financial markets are understandably showing some caution but risk sentiment remains on the back foot and Gold and oil continue to move higher.
On the data front we've seen some stronger German/EZ PMI numbers this morning with the key UK Services PMI due at 09.30 GMT and US Composite PMI later. NB UK Services PMI now out and better numbers help GBP rally.
GBPUSD has held 1.3050 and now staging a rally to 1.3145 helped by some GBPJPY demand and the PMI data but sellers remain poised. EURGBP has been tightly bound with core pairs mostly moving in tandem while GBPJPY broke down to post fresh recent lows of 140.78 amid the risk-off plays and core pairs both falling again but has rallied on some profit-taking with decent support lines across the pairs.
I stay poised to sell GBP rallies but still see some good two-way business albeit with a bearish bias.
EURUSD has held 1.1150 this time round and found a little support on the better PMI data but sellers also remain poised in these tights ranges. USDJPY fell again on the risk-off sentiment and failure to climb back above 108.30 but still can't break down through 107.75-80.EURJPY has also found some support amid the core pair demand. USDCHF remains tightly bound as EURUSD and EURCHF continue to range too with the SNB being ever vigilant but seemingly unfazed atm.
AUDUSD has fallen a little further helped by some AUDJPY supply again and pressure by the fall-out from the tragic forest-fire devastation. USDCAD has held its ground with CADJPY selling tempering the CAD demand on firmer oil prices still with rallies failing to hold above 1.3000.
Fickle Forex markets ever prevailing so be ready with your entry/exit levels and orders as always.
Have a good day/week out there one and all and I look forward to being of ongoing assistance in the months and year ahead.
Interbank rates: 08.30 GMT