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  • Mike Paterson

Ranging still as markets tread uncertain waters

Wednesday 27 May 2020

After yesterday's risk-on plays we've seen some more level of reality check as the US-China (Trump says he will probably unveil news re sanctions on China by the end of the week), China-HK, and COVID 19 fallout concerns continue, rightly imho, to nag away in the background.


GBPUSD got a lift higher yesterday helped by the risk-on GBPJPY demand that I mentioned but once again ran out of steam and re-sells around 1.2350 duly placed once EURGBP held 0.8880 that I tweeted about a few times and I hope the steer helped you all too. Further losses into the now pivotal 1.2280 as EURGBP holds 0.8900 where we also have large option expiries today. EURGBP duly held 0.8880-85 (1.1260) with the usual month-end Euro demand in play as per my udates here and tweets and now testing 0.8920.GBPJPY continued its move higher on the better risk sentiment but failed at 133.00, last seen on 12 May and a decent line in the sand. Subsequent retreat to 132.20 as I type as risk softens and core pairs duly find sellers again.


I stay poised to sell GBP rallies overall and buy back in the dips as ever but patience continues to be a virtue and entry level key as always. Playing the waiting game yesterday proved prudent.


USDJPY duly failed above 107.80 again as risk sentiment softened and re-sells placed again but demand at 107.30 still holding the retreat with interim offers building at 107.65 that I tweeted about too. EURJPY also enjoyed the risk-on rally but found more sellers around 118.30 only to then find support at 117.70 as core pairs found the expected dip demand at 107.30 and 1.0950. EURUSD duly held 1.1000 after breaking up through 1.0980 and once agin retreated only to hold the now-pivotal 1.0950. Rinse n repeat for the moment. USDCHF held 0.9650  (where I noted bids yesterdays) as EURUSD rallied yesterday but has since risen to test 0.9700 as the revrse moves play out with EURCHF rallying strongly to now post 1.0640 as I type. No doubt the SNB are still "smoothing" still too.


AUDUSD remains underpinned above 0.6630 for the moment helped by some decent option interest rolling off today but sellers poised between 0.6680-00. USDCAD has been on a solid retreat from 1.3920 helped by the generally softer USD/steady oil price combo and testing 1.3760 as I type.


Let's continue to be careful out there in all things. Staying safe must be our main priority still.


Interbank rates:  08.28 BST

GBPUSD   1.2297

EURUSD   1.0958

EURGBP   0.8911

GBPEUR   1.1220

GBPAUD   1.8501

GBPCAD   1.6936

GBPJPY   132.21

GBPZAR   21.4741

GBPHKD   9.5362

USDJPY   107.51

USDZAR   17.4612

EURJPY   117.81

EURCHF   1.0621

EURHKD   8.4993

AUDUSD   0.6647

USDCAD   1.3772

USDCHF   0.9691


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