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  • Mike Paterson

Risk sentiment still firm as markets wait on US jobs data

Friday 7 May 2021

Equities and commodities remain in cheery mood amid underpinned treasury yields and with Gold finally breaking up through 1800 yesterday all adding to some firmer risk sentiment as we wait on the latest US jobs/wages data today.

Yesterday's BOE statement had the algos in excited headline-reading mode and we saw sharp falls in the Pound before the detail provided support amid some QE tapering tones and up we went and beyond the starting prices. Blink and you missed it but once again a glorious illustration of me advising you to let the the algos do their thing and be poised to make the most of it.

The UK government have duly added another MP to their ranks after the by-election result as the opposition Labour Party continues to chase shadows with Johnson & Co feeling the love still on the happy-clappy vaccine rollout programme as I've been warning this week. The Pound has made a few gains across the board helped by the firmer risk sentiment generally and the FTSE too continues its recent rally.

Jury still out on the Greenback and forex pairs so, as always in these fickle times, be careful with your trading. Pick your preferred entry/exit levels and don't be greedy or over-analyze. Patience a virtue too of course.

GBPUSD: 1.3920-30 finally broke on yesterday's rebound from 1.3860 post-BOE. Since then we've found a good base at 1.3880 again and now back up testing 1.3930 on the Pound love-fest and better risk tones.EURGBP: A good cap (twice) at 0.8700 post-BOE helping the Pound recovery as per my tweet and now holding 0.8650-60 where we have some decent option interest expiring today. GBPJPY: Rally sellers at 152.20 prevailing again for the moment after finding good support at 151.30 post-BOE.

I remain a GBP rally seller across the pairs but still not getting over greedy with expectation on the retreats. Caution advised still as equally a case for buying dips still atm.

EURUSD: A good hold of 1.2020 this time and 1.2050-60 cap finally broken as the EUR dip demand continues but 1.2080-00 still the bigger challenge. Some notable option interest in play today.USDJPY: Still ranging 109.00-50 by and large. Re-sells made and some pips banked. EURJPY: The previous cap at 131.50 now a decent base as the Euro finds buyers on the better risk tones but sellers still poised.USDCHF: Has held 0.9060 on the latest retreat wth 0.9080 support broken as EURUSD rallies but EURCHF supply still notable but with the SNB ever watchful and ready to help. EURCHF: Holding 1.0930 now still but equally failing at 1.0980 still.

AUDUSD: Finding support at 0.7740 helped by AUDJPY demand and some decent option interest. More option interest at 0.7800 also in play.USDCAD: The retreat continues amid the CADJPY demand and firm oil prices but holding 1.2140 so far with some option interest around 1.2200

Let's continue to be careful out there in all things. Staying safe must be our main priority still. Have a good week-end everyone.

Interbank rates: 08.33 BST

GBPUSD 1.3916

EURUSD 1.2074

EURGBP 0.8675

GBPEUR 1.1527

GBPAUD 1.7920

GBPCAD 1.6948

GBPJPY 151.92

GBPZAR 19.8220

GBPHKD 10.7922

USDJPY 109.15

USDZAR 14.2387

EURJPY 131.81

EURCHF 1.0956

EURHKD 9.3625

AUDUSD 0.7767

USDCAD 1.2176

USDCHF 0.9074

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