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  • Writer's pictureMike Paterson

Roller coaster ride continues as markets wait on G7

Tuesday 3 March 2020

Coronavirus is sadly not going away anytime soon and markets understandably remain fragile. Last night the RBA cut interest rates by 0.25% but not the 0.5% that many had been touting in the expectation of a co-ordinated cut with the G7 expected to release a statement at 12.00 GMT today.

We've seen the ongoing rollercoaster ride on risk, equities and FX pairs providing good opportunity for those patient to wait for the right levels, and I hope that includes you all.

GBPUSD is trading 1.2730-1.2830 for the moment with EURGBP demand once again helping to push GBPUSD lower each time we rally too along with renewed GBPJPY and GBPCHF supply. Good 2-way business still whatever your bias.EURGBP continues to move higher amid the softer GBP/stronger EUR double-whammy and now blown through 0.8700 to post 0.8747 (GBPEUR down to 1.1432) as EURUSD rallies sharply to post new recent highs of 1.1184. GBPJPY continues to see good two-way business albeit with a softer bias still amid all the risk off sentiment and rally-selling on core pairs.

I stay poised to sell GBP rallies and buy back in the dips as ever, but with ranges getting nicely stretched atm we can afford to be a bit more patient. As ever though, don't get too greedy as volatility increases.Be aware that Carney testifies before the UK Treasury Select Committee at 09.30 GMT.

USDJPY found a base at 107.40 before rallying back to 108.50 only to retreat once more in late-Asia/early Europe, continuing a recent pattern while EURJPY also is still contained in relative terms as core pairs both rally and fall. EURUSD has enjoyed underlying strength to post 1.1184 but equally still finding itself stretched and sellers ever poised, understandble given its recent rise. USDCHF has retreated again as EURUSD rallies but EURCHF capping into 1.0700 albeit with underlying dip demand too as I've been highlighting for a while now.

AUDUSD had a dip ahead of the RBA cut as they gave clear signals of a cut but then disappointed the bears by only cutting 0.25% and the pair surged higher to 0.6567 and now looks supported at 0.6540.USDCAD failed above 1.3400 and retreated to test the 1.3320 bids I mentioned yesterday were building amid some general USD supply and oil price gains.

Fickle Forex markets ever prevailing so be ready to jump on moves with your entry/exit levels and orders as always.

Lots going on right now, and the foreseeable future, so don't forget that I offer 1-2-1 mentoring if there's areas of trading these volatile markets or how to make best use of the order boards and expiries, that you might need some further help with.

Have a good day out there one and all.

Interbank rates: 08.28 GMT

GBPUSD   1.2788

EURUSD   1.1127

EURGBP   0.8701

GBPEUR   1.1491

GBPAUD   1.9498

GBPCAD   1.7077

GBPJPY   138.09

GBPZAR   19.9116

GBPHKD   9.9145

USDJPY   108.01

USDZAR   15.5996

EURJPY   120.18

EURCHF   1.0661

EURHKD   8.6273

AUDUSD   0.6560

USDCAD   1.3358

USDCHF   0.9581

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