Ukraine remains centre stage as another week closes
Friday 18 March 2022
Yesterday the BOE duly delivered a 0.25% interest rate hike but with some dovish tones in the rhetoric as expected by your writer but disappointing a few hawks out there. Needless to say the Pound retreated but found some decent dip demand per my tweets. This morning the BOJ have kept rates on hold as expected and pointed toward greater liquidity if needed.
Sad times in Ukraine still and the Greenback has seen some mixed tones as have equity markets with peace talks continuing but far from reaching any amicable conclusion.Gold and oil are finding dip support still while FX pairs continue with their fragile/fickle price action.
GBPUSD: Finding a base at 1.3080 post-BOE from 1.3200 per my tweets. I remain a rally seller overall while keeping an eye on EURGBP and GBPJPY as always. EURGBP: Decent cap at 0.8450-60 again but holding 0.8400 this time and helping to cap GBPUSD. More two-way business expected.GBPJPY: Support at 155.80 amid better risk tones, dovish BOJ and the GBP dip demand but equally finding sellers at 156.50-60 while the risk jury remains out.
EURUSD: Testing 1.1050-60 now after retreating from 1.1140 highs with some firmer USD tones returns.USDJPY: 118.30 duly held in the retreat per my tweets but capping into 119.00 again so far. EURJPY: Support now at 131.40 with the level having broken in latest rally but failure into 131.90 so far in these ever fickle times.
USDCHF: 0.9390 support broken in yesterday's softer USD sentiment and failing to get back above since on the latest rally and now 0.9240 in the latest retreat as EURCHF falls again but with SNB shadow lurking amid the fragile backdrop. EURCHF: Support at 1.0320-20 being tested in this mornings's extended retreat with CHF demand notable along with renewed softer EUR risk-off tones as I type this report. SNB lurking in the dips but equally rally sellers poised still though as I've been warning.
AUDUSD: Testing 0.7400-10 amid the softer USD tones and return of some commodity-ccy demand after a strong hold of 0.7370 but back in retreat as I type. USDCAD: Holding 1.2590 so far after the retreat from 1.2650 amid the softer USD/firmer oil double whammy with some CADJPY demand too but a little reversal of all that now as I type sees 1.2620. Two-way business expected amid all the uncertainty still.Caution required though with so many variables.
As a bit of housekeeping I will probably be taking Tues-Wed off next week, possibly Monday too, as my boat goes back in the water and I need to get a bit more work done.It's been a while since I had any time off and sadly no dog to nurse through ill-health so I hope I have your blessings.
The mighty Shrimpers are back at the hallowed Hall tomorrow and will be trying to return to winning ways after Tuesday's set back. Bring it on !!!
Let's continue to be careful out there in all things. Staying safe must be our main priority still.Have a good weekend everyone.
Interbank rates: 08.42 GMT