US Dollar demand again as bond yields rise
Wednesday 17 February 2021
Greenback demand back in vogue as the sell-off in US treasurues continues and bond yields rise. Risk sentiment remains positive still as equities and commodities/metals continue to stay underpinned.The Pound remains bouyant too on vaccine-fuelled hopes of a quicker UK recovery while the Euro continues to lag behind.
The Forex jury is ever-fickle amid all the noise and sentiment can turn quickly as I keep repeating so keep playing the price action in front of you, pick your entry/exit levels carefully and don't over analyze or assume anything.
GBPUSD continued to find support at 1.3875-80 as per my tweets yesterday and rallied sharply into the London 4pm fix only to fail at 1.3930-40 again and since been back down to test 1.3860 again but underpinned by EURGBP continuing to look soft. EURGBP duly found a cap above 0.8730 and has now broken down through 0.8700 where we have large options interest again today to help support in theory. Demand at 0.8685 holding the falls so far too but it seems that Euro rally sellers remain poised. GBPJPY found a decent base into 146.80 this time and posted fresh recent highs of 147.56 amid the better risk sentiment USDJPY demand still but both core pairs finding rally sellers.
I still have a naturally bearish stance on GBP overall and remain poised to sell into rallies but respecting dip demand still with price action ever fickle. Equally a case still for going long in the dips therefore as we continue to range. Patience and not getting greedy remain key.
USDJPY has 105.80 now providing a good base amid the firmer risk sentiment and general USD demand but failing at 106.20 for the moment. EURJPY has made a solid retreat from 128.50 as core pairs both find rally sellers despite firmer risk sentiment but EURUSD outstripping USDJPY amid the general USD demand. EURUSD yesterday failed above 1.2160 then 1.2120 and is now testing 1.2060 this morning amid the firmer USD/wobbly EUR on the crosses double-whammy. USDCHF found a good base at 0.8910 this time after capping there previously and has been up to test 0.8960 this morning as EURUSD retreats with EURCHF range bound still and with the SNB ever watchful.
AUDUSD duly found support at the key 0.7730 area after capping into the 0.7800 area I mentioned yesterday while USDCAD has found a good cap this time at 1.2720 after a USD demand-led rally from 1.2670 but falling back this morning amid firmer oil tones again.
Let's continue to be careful out there in all things. Staying safe must be our main priority still.
Interbank rates: 08.42 GMT