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  • Mike Paterson

Variable risk sentiment again amid US-China trade deal uncertainty

Friday 8 November 2019

Further to my BOE updates we've seen the Pound tightly bound with large option expiry interest today at 1.2800 helping to underpin but similarly failing to hold above the 1.2830 area/offers I highlighted a couple of times yesterday. Risk sentiment still variable too as the US-China trade talks continue to produce contrasting headlines/undertones and a signing of the Phase 1 agreement still a little way off.


GBPUSD remains on the back foot amid some general USD demand and risk-off GBPJPY supply but pinned by that large expiry interest with even larger at 1.2700 also expected to provide support should we get anywhere close. EURGBP still ranging too with support around 0.8600 again but failing above 0.8650.GBPJPY also continues to see good two-way trading and tightly bound between 139.50-140.30.


I will continue to rally-sell GBP as my preferred strategy overall too amid the ongoing Brexit/Election uncertainty but happy to buy back in the dips still. In essence the general uncertainty and can kicking continues and for me that's still Pound negative no to mention yesterday's BOE dovish tones.


EURUSD is also still on the back foot helped by some ongoing USD demand but tightly bound too with large option interest rolling today at 1.1050 and 1.1085-00.USDJPY has finally broken up through the 109.25-30 offers amid some better risk and USD tones but failing into the next tranche at 109.50 so far. Support comes in at 109.00 now.USDCHF has posted fresh recent highs of 0.9962 and remains underpinned helped by the current general USD  and EURCHF demand with the SNB being ever vigilant.


AUDUSD remains tightly bound amid the US-China uncertainty and now falling again to post 0.6871 helped by the latest round of USD demand and rally sellers emerging in AUDJPY around 75.50. USDCAD has found itself underpinned by the USD demand/softer oil price combo and now testing 1.3200 again.


Fickle Forex markets ever prevailing so be ready with your entry/exit levels and orders as always.


Don't forget too that I offer 1-2-1 mentoring if there's areas of trading these tight ranges, or how to make best use of the order boards and expiries, that you might need some further help with. I develop your powers of trading discipline and psychology all learned in my 38 years in FX, including 20 as a market maker.


A reminder that I shall be taking a week's holiday (my first this year!) from 12-19 November and will not be turning any screens or phones on let alone send updates.


Have a good day/week-end out there one and all.


Interbank rates: 08.40 GMT

GBPUSD   1.2822

EURGBP   0.8620

EURUSD   1.1053

GBPEUR   1.1598

GBPAUD   1.8627

GBPCAD   1.6909

GBPJPY   140.11

GBPZAR   18.9888

GBPHKD   9.9409

USDJPY   109.30

USDZAR   14.8283

EURHKD   8.5712

EURJPY   120.81

EURCHF   1.1004

AUDUSD   0.6893

USDCAD   1.3191

USDCHF   0.9956


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