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  • Mike Paterson

Year-end and jury still out

Friday 30 December 2022

We've seen a bounce then retreat again in equity markets as the second-guessing continues. Gold still finding a base above $1800 with geopolitical risk in Ukraine still to the fore while oil is currently finding some dip support too. Mixed signals on month/year end USD flows atm still.

Remember, focus on the price action and let the algos do the heavy lifting/dropping. The important thing is to identify your preferred risk/reward entry/exit levels.

Thanks again for your business this year. We do hope we've helped add/save you some pips along the way. It's really why we do this. Have a great New Year and successful 2023.

RIP Pele, a footballing genius who transcended sport.

GBPUSD: A hold of 1.2020 this time but a failure around 1.2080 and in retreat again as I type as we continue to see 2022 out with a wimper. Good two-way business whatever your bias. I remain poised to re=sell. EURGBP: 0.8860 resistance being tested again as I type but 0.8820 has become the latest support line and still underpinned overall. GBPJPY: Support now at 158.50 again after a steady JPY-demand retreat with sellers capping the rally at 161.00 then 160.00 amid the softer risk tones overall.

EURUSD: A decent hold at the 1.0620 line then1.0640 as we range tightly but capping at 1.0675 again as the USD jury remains out. Re-sells duly placed per ongoing strategy Rinse n repeat still. This is not rocket science. USDJPY: Support around 133.50 broken and triggering another retreat to test 131.50 amd softer USD and risk tones. EURJPY: Support now at 140.30-50 now after the latest amid general JPY demand and rally sellers poised 141.50.USDCHF: Capping into 0.9260 now but still holding the 0.9220 support by and large as EURCHF finds some dip demand too but with CHF demand overall as I've been warning.

EURCHF: Capping above 0.9880 res area as we continue to range but holding 0.9230 this time. Good two-way pips still.

AUDUSD: Good support around the old 0.6760 area now but failing into 0.6800 so as we continue to range. AUDJPY selling in play too. GBPAUD continues its decline as the Pound loses ground on the crosses generall led by GBPJPY but holding 1.7700 so far. NZDUSD capped into 0.6360 this time after the hold of 0.6300 but heading down from 0.6340 as I type. GBPNZD 1.8950-1.9100 and now breaking down again from 1.9100 as GBP supply returns. USDCAD: Capping around 1.3600 yesterday amid oil price dip demand but general USD supply again. Holding 1.3525 so far.Mixed USD tone and oil price to bring more two-way business overall.

Let's continue to be careful out there.

Interbank rates: 08.55 GMT

GBPUSD 1.2050

EURUSD 1.0665

EURGBP 0.8852

GBPEUR 1.1300

GBPJPY 158.60

GBPCAD 1.6316

GBPCHF 1.1101

GBPZAR 20.4324

GBPHKD 9.3870

USDJPY 131.64

EURJPY 140.42

EURCHF 0.9854

EURHKD 8.3070

AUDUSD 0.6796

NZDUSD 0.6340

USDCAD 1.3540

USDCHF 0.9238

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